Line movements is characterized by pure excitement throughout the course of a day for any betting enthusiast. From its creation to its fruition, line movement dictate the point spread according to public behavior. Savvy handicappers analyze the intricacies of every line movement – when it moves, by how much it moves, and why it moves. The line is the epitomé of sports bets – remember, one half point can make or break your wager.
Line movements are divided into three phases. During the early phrase when they´ve just been created by the Stardust Casino sportsbook, high stakes bettors take first shots at the line – choosing a team to wager for/against. In order to be one of the select few to bet at this time, bettors have to go through a lottery system. This lottery system filters out everyone betting cheap money and strictly aims for the high rollers of the betting industry who have made a name for themselves with their inspired play. These sharp bettors find plenty of satisfaction in being the first to bet baby lines: they make the decision instead of relying on shopping lines. High stake bettor bet with thousands of dollars in each and every game, and Las Vegas naturally respects whatever betting decision they make knowing lots of money is on the line. Depending on these high stakes bettors decisions, the line is moved respectably.
Early line moves serve as a gauge to the linesmakers. The lottery bettors who choose sides dictate line movement simply by betting on one side. If the majority of these sharp bettors choose one side, it is because it presents great value. Naturally, linesmakers will adjust the lines to encourage betting on the other side. Early moves always act as good indicators of which direction lines will head as well. For this reason, lines are almost pinpoint in nature – with required decisions to make by choosing either one. Suppose you have the Knicks – Cavaliers game and the line opens at the beginning of the week (days prior to the game) with a Knicks -2 spread at Madison Square Garden. If you strongly believe the Knicks will win the game, you will naturally want to choose -2 by placing a wager now instead of waiting for line movement to rise. If you like the Cavaliers, you can wait -2 to become -4, increasing the likelihood of winning the bet on the Cavaliers side.
Of course, line movement does not have to move in one direction at all times. A line could move in one side during the early phase and turn in the opposite direction during the middle of the week. This is caused by the publics betting decisions. Lots of factors can play into influencing line movement: for instance, breaking news indicates that the Knicks starting power forward has been charged with a misdemeanor and was suspended. Automatically, the line will move in the Cavaliers favor, perhaps moving to Knicks -1 or even Cavaliers +2. 500 $400 bets towards one side can move a line 1/2 point. Why is line movement so important? For starters, it is an indicator of where the public is betting. If you believe in the ¨fading the public¨ mantra, this information could be of service to you. A common rule of thumb is that teams with a point moved towards them is a bad bet.
This is because the value has gone from that side and there is a tendency for the oddsmakers to prevail. Betting against the line is a solid choice, although nothing is guaranteed. Gauging line movement and shopping for the best lines is just as important as maintaining a solid research regimen. It is one of the many trick of the trade that should be implemented into your betting habits. Remember, line movement that has moved a ½ is significant because it highlights the betting decisions of the public. The public is the No. 1 indicator of line movement – not injuries or gametime situations. Get into the game by becoming a line movement aficionado today!